Jeremy Hughes

U.S. Rep. Geoff Davis (R-Ft. Mitchell): Getty Images Photo A recent poll conducted on Kentucky's 4th Congressional District race showed numbers very similar to the results from election night in 2006. In a late-June SurveyUSA poll, incumbent U.S. Rep. Geoff Davis (R-Ft. Mitchell) was shown leading his Democratic opponent, physician Michael Kelley of Lagrange, 54 to 41 percent among 550 likely voters.

Similarly, Davis was re-elected to the 4th District seat in 2006 by only a slightly slimmer margin, 52 to 43 percent.

The difference this year is that Davis faces a much lower-profile candidate than in 2006, when he beat former 4th District U.S. Rep. Ken Lucas (D-Richwood) in a campaign that cost the two candidates over $5 million.

For Kelley and his supporters, the new poll numbers are encouraging given their similarities to 2006 - and the fact that Kelley has spent almost nothing in the race.

"It's a lot smaller gap than most people would have believed possible," Kelley told PolitickerKY.com.

Michael Kelley, the Democratic opponent of 4th District Congressman Geoff Davis (R-Hebron), said Davis’ comments about Presidential candidate Barack Obama were “thoughtless,” but said his campaign against the incumbent would focus on other issues. Kelley, a physician from Oldham County, told PolitickerKY.com Davis showed “poor judgement.”